Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1021.857370 1166.563304 1330.634424 1531.710014 1773.227121 2056.179898 2416.007452
2025-03-09 803.660904 987.144566 1216.118848 1527.856624 1949.184603 2510.896681 3337.775550
2025-03-16 680.590190 873.178731 1127.886482 1498.346701 2039.183739 2826.797639 4115.159667
2025-03-23 610.416172 811.606018 1090.835947 1520.486370 2191.643052 3250.604970 5164.798091
2025-03-30 538.058327 734.654671 1017.584505 1472.160748 2221.065067 3481.927553 5960.823503
2025-04-06 481.859086 672.841748 956.310592 1429.125040 2245.567032 3703.321294 6803.795370
2025-04-13 433.936945 617.427994 896.972717 1378.441935 2244.616910 3874.335317 7600.444547
2025-04-20 413.088629 600.526361 894.781163 1420.923169 2414.707293 4407.460891 9396.937547
2025-04-27 388.850644 575.558859 876.185913 1431.236257 2525.097053 4846.833310 11169.672978
2025-05-04 372.328371 561.144126 873.038363 1468.098196 2693.799776 5457.774072 13716.671346
2025-05-11 356.391516 546.037823 866.738933 1497.546244 2852.311773 6091.674596 16716.391178
2025-05-18 346.089953 539.322074 874.131927 1554.123392 3081.170799 6974.238687 21172.632818
2025-05-25 330.959060 524.196743 866.967774 1585.269805 3271.580880 7861.319579 26605.737150
2025-06-01 312.227817 501.375954 843.659824 1580.539260 3378.997734 8569.664762 32138.151842
2025-06-08 292.481597 474.981874 810.703423 1549.821376 3413.759377 9071.898256 37320.894096
2025-06-15 280.762024 462.177309 802.609559 1572.925327 3596.114546 10144.161614 47222.962604
2025-06-22 262.347944 435.552282 764.673004 1522.474382 3565.543980 10462.342927 53035.664581
2025-06-29 246.179366 412.018667 730.923793 1477.560795 3542.157994 10806.504654 59767.774521
2025-07-06 230.632865 388.653300 695.626051 1424.686883 3485.360523 11004.808914 65896.626362
2025-07-13 225.400421 384.667931 699.941183 1469.002899 3734.735056 12604.661280 88707.742485
2025-07-20 217.525416 374.963096 691.315630 1479.763781 3882.452467 13858.008377 112638.549372
2025-07-27 212.469092 370.437084 693.327219 1518.233709 4133.310464 15783.196051 154309.133723
2025-08-03 207.067069 364.824269 692.428573 1548.974595 4368.110567 17820.378940 211597.623596